Health Workforce Projections

We help public and private organizations understand how changes in population will affect future workforce demands. We estimate the supply and demand, and distribution of, health care workers to inform public policy to help prevent both shortages and surpluses. 

These U.S. Workforce projections present the national supply of, and demand for, health professions by discipline, using the following:

HRSA’s Health Workforce Simulation Model (PDF - 1 MB) 

Technical Documentation for Health Resources Service Administration’s Health Workforce Simulation Model (2.2 MB).

Health Workforce Practitioners

December 2017

Nursing Students
Nursing Workforce Projections by Ethnicity and Race 2014 – 2030 (PDF – 450 KB)

This fact sheet presents information on the self-reported ethnicity and race of registered nurses (RNs) and licensed practical/vocational nurses (LPNs) in 2014, and then presents projections of provider ethnicity and race in 2030.

July 2017

Supply and Demand Projections of the Nursing Workforce: 2014-2030 (PDF – 832 KB)

Projections of the supply of, and demand for, registered nurses (RNs) and licensed practical/vocational nurses (LPNs) in 2030 highlight the inequitable distribution of the nursing workforce across the United States.

April 2017

National and Regional Projections of Supply and Demand for Geriatricians: 2013-2025 (PDF – 154 KB)

In this model, supply and demand are not equal at baseline. Here, we constructed baseline demand from the current need for, not utilization of, geriatricians.

Health Workforce Projections: General Pediatricians (PDF – 192 KB)

This fact sheet gives background and findings about the national supply of, and demand for, general pediatricians for 2013 through 2025.

 

March 2017

Health Workforce Projections: Neurology Physicians and Physician Assistants (PDF – 170 KB)

This fact sheet gives the background and findings about the national supply of, and demand for, the physicians and physician assistants (PAs) in a neurology specialty from 2013 through 2025.

Health Workforce Projections: Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation Physicians and Physician Assistants (PDF – 232 KB)

This fact sheet gives the background and findings about the national supply of, and demand for, physicians and physician assistants (PAs) working in physical medicine and rehabilitation from 2013 through 2025.

Health Workforce Projections: Physicians and Physician Assistants in Emergency Medicine (PDF – 186 KB)

This fact sheet gives the background and findings about the national supply of and demand for Emergency Medicine physicians and physician assistants (PAs) for 2013 through 2025.

 

 

 

Health Care Support

 

 

 

 

 

 

Date Last Reviewed:  December 2017