Physician Model Components Exhibit Data | Bureau of Health Workforce

Exhibit V-4: Probability Physician Remains Active in the Workforce

Anticipated Retirement Age	Medical Specialty (Female)	Other (Female)	Primary Care (Female)	Surgery (Female)	Medical Specialty (Male)	Other (Male)	Primary Care (Male)	Surgery (Male)
50	0.996214455	0.966729243	0.996564919	0.982104455	0.992061726	0.99197158	0.992320539	0.998964056
51	0.996214455	0.966729243	0.996564919	0.982104455	0.989791308	0.991137246	0.992320539	0.998964056
52	0.996214455	0.96205431	0.996564919	0.982104455	0.988830407	0.991137246	0.990541152	0.996926134
53	0.992665506	0.96205431	0.993213223	0.982104455	0.988830407	0.991137246	0.990541152	0.996926134
54	0.992665506	0.959002965	0.993213223	0.977311005	0.988830407	0.991137246	0.990541152	0.996926134
55	0.959246237	0.908418071	0.948467579	0.893442972	0.96789449	0.943540929	0.971075277	0.976265759
56	0.955638138	0.905366725	0.945226413	0.888315537	0.964132732	0.940766966	0.96903411	0.972439705
57	0.951532896	0.900691793	0.938813197	0.879422073	0.960271655	0.937623847	0.967087135	0.96906445
58	0.948575438	0.890473345	0.922971562	0.861107072	0.955988255	0.924013181	0.963578574	0.960926894
59	0.939473755	0.874482124	0.91878852	0.855905327	0.954869376	0.917461575	0.961725071	0.958879905
60	0.810171906	0.758139111	0.777587101	0.73968123	0.899659641	0.821943063	0.895995579	0.895665643
61	0.806066664	0.756017713	0.775890406	0.681174005	0.892228988	0.819379269	0.892996638	0.891485906
62	0.779166013	0.728345092	0.735859038	0.656650507	0.881805921	0.786003395	0.856329033	0.862312546
63	0.775181513	0.702867281	0.717333637	0.647361675	0.86923832	0.772100232	0.845844452	0.853101462
64	0.76818564	0.699950554	0.703799663	0.327767472	0.856396938	0.763328174	0.837739085	0.840029596
65	0.470048872	0.443677599	0.466337371	0.31951899	0.675327023	0.591067835	0.672506037	0.658204884
66	0.463884408	0.430976598	0.435974496	0.285189684	0.656987535	0.568086534	0.646562285	0.617861016
67	0.388476101	0.386507681	0.370009801	0.258739498	0.607217467	0.509192837	0.58272283	0.538053396
68	0.365200391	0.348547529	0.312949741	0.258739498	0.540725361	0.471755992	0.526041312	0.478171931
69	0.350475613	0.320997386	0.304908143	0.258739498	0.526435533	0.449824396	0.511636039	0.462324733
70	0.22810257	0.175572983	0.128387852	0.103269174	0.333861438	0.26582487	0.317930584	0.264598344
71	0.221309475	0.168718351	0.123743802	0.103269174	0.32106098	0.257008517	0.302913916	0.257089719
72	0.162242706	0.151061698	0.100241289	0.080972024	0.274512686	0.212279855	0.255145434	0.210632033
73	0.162242706	0.146954916	0.09520025	0.080972024	0.263721096	0.202873051	0.243197038	0.197687585
74	0.162242706	0.146954916	0.09520025	0.074706709	0.251220534	0.19203028	0.231701989	0.188627363
75	0.036064497	0.060305526	0.038473915	0.04883416	0.132733627	0.090685409	0.106834679	0.096344518
76	0.023692191	0.060305526	0.038473915	0.043674489	0.122090936	0.08609906	0.097343587	0.093570885
77	0.023692191	0.060305526	0.033572913	0.039810335	0.11249554	0.078297607	0.095289453	0.091045926
78	0.023692191	0.046005149	0.030674597	0.039810335	0.097733911	0.072560877	0.085785908	0.073748712
79	0.023692191	0.046005149	0.030674597	0.039810335	0.093800754	0.071027706	0.084775678	0.067985635
80	0.011705973	0.013050719	0.009907259	0.025201381	0.02681538	0.020640112	0.032803255	0.032969524
81	0.011705973	0.013050719	0.009907259	0.025201381	0.025108149	0.017551224	0.03164149	0.03033431
82	0.011705973	0.013050719	0.007008943	0.025201381	0.02337581	0.014868176	0.029418984	0.028727298
83	0.011705973	0.013050719	0.007008943	0.020502394	0.02337581	0.014868176	0.02615557	0.026843215
84	0.011705973	0.013050719	0.007008943	0.020502394	0.021944748	0.014868176	0.02615557	0.026111795
85	0.010049796	0.009866284	0.002904071	0.020502394	0.009952778	0.012319169	0.008476247	0.013067703
86	0.010049796	0.009866284	0.002904071	0.020502394	0.009952778	0.012319169	0.008476247	0.013067703
87	0.010049796	0.009866284	0.002904071	0.020502394	0.009952778	0.011697242	0.007342943	0.012312315
88	0.010049796	0.009866284	0.002183812	0.020502394	0.008873205	0.011697242	0.007342943	0.008931285
89	0.010049796	0.009866284	0.002183812	0.020502394	0.008873205	0.011697242	0.006585271	0.008931285
90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

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Exhibit V-5: Physician Average Total Hours Worked per Week

Specialty (sex)	Physician Age Group
Specialty (sex)	<35	35-44	45-54	55-59	60-64	65-69	70-74	75+
Primary Care (Male)	46.7	47.6	46.4	49.0	46.0	42.5	35.7	31.7
Medical Specialties (Male)	49.9	48.8	49.2	50.3	48.2	45.6	38.5	27.5
Surgery (Male)	56.0	50.5	49.4	51.5	50.5	45.6	40.0	32.6
Other (Male)	49.4	48.1	46.6	46.8	44.3	40.9	38.4	34.6
Primary Care (Female)	47.4	42.9	43.5	44.6	41.6	38.1	31.3	27.3
Medical Specialties (Female)	46.1	46.8	46.7	46.5	44.4	41.8	34.7	23.7
Surgery (Female)	50.4	48.2	47.1	45.9	44.9	40.0	34.3	26.9
Other (Female)	46.4	43.8	43.4	43.4	40.8	37.4	35.0	31.1

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Date Last Reviewed:

December 2025