See the workforce projections briefs below for nursing, behavioral health, primary care, physicians, and long-term services and support.
Recently Released Projections
The National Center for Health Workforce Analysis (NCHWA) helps public and private organizations understand how changes in population will affect future workforce demands.
What Are the Most Recent Projections Data Available?
NCHWA published the following briefs for November 2022:
- Behavioral health (PDF - 162 KB)
- Long-term services and support (PDF - 160 KB)
- Nursing (PDF - 127 KB)
- Physicians (PDF - 125 KB)
- Primary Care (PDF - 122 KB)
How Does This Data Help?
By estimating supply, demand, and distribution of health care workers, we inform public policy to help prevent shortages and surpluses.
How Do We Make Our Projections?
We project the national supply of and demand for health professions by discipline. We use HRSA’s Health Workforce Simulation Model to do this.
What Are the Projections for Health Workforce Practitioners?
2015
Health Workforce Projections: Health Technologist and Technician Occupations (PDF - 98 KB)
Health Workforce Projections: Healthcare Support Occupations (PDF - 98 KB)
2017
Nursing Workforce Projections by Ethnicity and Race 2014-2030 (PDF - 449 KB)
Supply and Demand Projections of the Nursing Workforce: 2014-2030 (PDF - 832 KB)
2016
Health Workforce Projections: Nursing Assistants and Home Health Aides (PDF - 84 KB)
Health Workforce Projections: Critical Care Physicians and Nurse Practitioners (PDF - 145 KB)
Health Workforce Projections: Certified Nurse Anesthetists (PDF - 190 KB)
2017
Health Workforce Projections: General Pediatricians (PDF - 192 KB)
2017
Health Workforce Projections: Neurology Physicians and Physician Assistants (PDF - 170 KB)
Health Workforce Projections: Physicians and Physician Assistants in Emergency Medicine (PDF - 567 KB)
2016
National and Regional Projections of Supply and Demand for Surgical Specialty Practitioners: 2013-2025 (PDF - 218 KB)
National and Regional Projections of Supply and Demand for Internal Medicine Subspecialty Practitioners: 2013-2025 (PDF - 242 KB)
2021
Projections of Supply and Demand for Primary Care Providers: 2018-2030
2016
National and Regional Projections of Supply and Demand for Primary Care Practitioners: 2013-2025 (PDF - 295 KB)
State-Level Projections of Supply and Demand for Primary Care Practitioners: 2013-2025 (PDF - 993 KB)
2013
Primary Care Practitioners Workforce Projections through 2020