Health Workforce Projections

We help public and private organizations understand how changes in population will affect future workforce demands. We estimate the supply and demand, and distribution of, health care workers to inform public policy to help prevent both shortages and surpluses. 

These U.S. Workforce projections present the national supply of, and demand for, health professions by discipline, using the following:

Technical Documentation for Health Resources Service Administration’s Health Workforce Simulation Model (PDF - 2.9 MB)

New Projections

We recently released: Behavioral Health Workforce Projections, 2016-2030.


  • Eight updated fact sheets
  • State-level projects by discipline

Health Workforce Practitioners

March 2018

Direct care worker helping patient

Long-Term Services and Supports: Direct Care Worker Demand Projections 2015-2030
(PDF – 747 KB)

A focus on “Direct Care Worker” occupations in long-term services and supports, including Nursing Assistants, Home Health Aides, Personal Care Aides, and Psychiatric Assistants/Aides.


Nursing Workforce

Long-Term Services and Supports: Nursing Workforce Demand Projections 2015-2030
(PDF – 632 KB)

Projections for Registered Nurses and Licensed Practical Nurses working in long-term services and supports.




Health Care Support



Date Last Reviewed:  February 2019